Last Updated 8/27/2015, 5:00:00 AM (Eastern Standard Time)
Location 16.8N 61.5W Movement W at 16 mph
Wind 85KPH Pressure: 1003 MB
Data from a NOAA hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that Erika has strengthened overnight, although it is not clear as to how much. The central pressure dropped to around 1001 mb around 0540z, but was up to 1003 mb on the next fix about an hour later.
Based on a blend of these data, the initial intensity has been conservatively raised to 45 kt for this advisory. An Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft will be investigating Erika again later this morning. The NHC forecast has been adjusted upward slightly late in the period, but is well below the intensity consensus given the large uncertainty and spread in the guidance. Aircraft fixes and radar data from Guadeloupe were helpful in finding the low-level center and determining an initial motion of 280/14. The steering flow from the subtropical ridge to the north should result in a west-northwestward heading for the next 2 to 3 days.
Montserrat experiencing wind and rain. The center fell overnight to between Antigua and Montserrat causing the island to be more directly impacted with winds, rain at around 50 mph.
This from BayNews 9 in the USA. Montserrat is not on the international map!!!
How far is it?
- 35 mi. N of Guadeloupe
- 30 mi. SE of Antigua
- Montserrat as we know is in between these two, just a bit further west
