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COVID-19 pandemic - simple but effective terms of CARE

COVID-19 pandemic – simple but effective terms of CARE

Public Health Emergency

Center for Disease Control: Coronavirus

The COVID-19 pandemic, also known as the coronavirus pandemic, is an ongoing pandemic of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). It was first identified in December 2019 in Wuhan,…

Disease: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID19)

Virus strain:
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2)

Date: December 2019 – present

Index case: WuhanHubeiChina

Symptoms: Symptoms may appear 2-14 days after exposure to the virus. People with these symptoms may have COVID19: Cough, shortness of breath or difficulty breathing, fever, chills, muscle pain, sore throat, new loss of taste or smell.

Incubation period:
The median incubation period for COVID19 is four to five days. Most symptomatic people experience symptoms within two to seven days after exposure.

Mode of transmission:
Human-to-human transmission via respiratory droplets

Prevention tips:
Avoiding close contact with sick individuals; frequently washing hands with soap and water; not touching the eyes, nose, or mouth with unwashed hands; and practicing good respiratory hygiene

Research: COVID19 Open Research Dataset (CORD-19)

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COVID-19 Vaccine trends concerns and “misinformation”

Contribution – Part 120/21

Is “vaccine hesitancy” a mere matter of “misinformation” (perhaps spread by “armchair instigators”)?

BRADES, Montserrat, Aug 23, 2021 –  Recent talk about “vaccine hesitancy” by officials across the Caribbean region and here in Montserrat has highlighted claims of “misinformation” coming from “anti-vaxxers.” Locally, a natural health advocate who actually calls himself an “anti-vaxxer” has been censored by ZJB Radio in live call-ins several times and has now been reduced to speaking in poetic parables. Overseas, outright censorship and de-platforming have now become routine, a bad sign.  So, is the obvious concern about the rushed development (recall, “Operation Warp Speed” [1]) of still experimental, emergency/ conditional authorised vaccines simply misinformation, perhaps fed by conspiracy theories?

First, let us carefully observe what is cleverly NOT being said in an August 18th US White House tweet on proposed third jab booster shots.  Of course, the vaxxes are announced as “safe” and “highly effective,” but why is it that we are seeing a highly unusual fading in protective effects in six to eight months?

So much so, that the “fully vaccinated” are now expected to get another “booster” shot?  (Is that what we remember for typical vaccines, and is it not strange that we were not told about such boosters originally? Yes, some well known “vaxxes” require boosters several years later, but in six to eight months? C’mon.)

The point is quite clear, we are just now learning about longer and longer-term effects and concerns, here, that protection is waning just as new strains are spreading, so we need the third jab. Nor is this just in the US or Israel which also mainly uses mRNA vaccines such as Pfizer’s vaccine. In the UK it was recently announced that they are pushing for 32 million people to take the third jab. And, lost in the shadows, since February, there has been talk of possible booster shots in the Autumn and of annual or even six-monthly shots. That’s why here at TMR we previously spoke of the booster shot train. [2]

Clearly, researchers and officials are still monitoring and learning from a changing situation with the vaccines and with Covid-19.

That is, as “emergency” or “conditional” authorisation implies, these are still experimental vaccines.

Unfortunately, there is a tendency for some officials to deny that regulatory fact.  And no, the current push to prematurely declare the Pfizer vaccine fully approved does not change the underlying facts. For, it is impossible to put the emergence of long-term effects and trends on “warp speed.” Plainly, the future still arrives at the rate of 24 hours per new day, 365 ¼ days per new year. There is a reason why new drug development typically takes 4 – 7 years or even over ten years.

Speaking of trends, some tend to blame the emergence and spreading of highly contagious new strains on the “not-vaxxed”.  But, there is an issue of drugs resistance at work, similar to how so many bacteria are now resistant to antibiotics or how some insects seem to now shake off formerly highly effective insecticides. Because, of “adaptation to selection pressure.”  There are even problems with resistance to some antiseptics used in hospitals etc. (That’s part of what we are paying Doctors for, to know about and deal with such challenges.)

Did you notice that the “fully vaxxed” are still being told to keep on wearing face masks and to practice social distancing, etc.? Why is that? In part, because the vaccines are what some call “non-sterilising.” For, they typically don’t immediately stomp on a viral invasion General Rommel style and prevent forming a beachhead for Covid-19. Instead, they are said to reduce the intensity of the disease, and it is hoped they reduce the likelihood of death or serious damage to health. That is, it is quite possible for the “fully vaxxed” to catch Covid-19 and to spread it to others.  That’s why we are seeing a fair number of reports of just that happening. (And this is before we see “breakout” strains that are sufficiently different that the antibodies from vaccination have little effect. Some argue that the Delta strain is nearing that sort of breakout.)

Yes, all of this is complicated, and there are other more complex concerns. Especially, regarding adverse reactions.

For example, some have pointed out how the US reporting system has seen a surge in bad reactions to vaccines once the Covid-19 vaccines were put on the table. There have been reports of blood clot formation, heart failures, and mysterious sudden deaths. There are similar reports from Australia. However, perhaps the most relevant report is from the European Union, where all four main vaccines are in use. Some have queried the databases and have compiled [3] figures that should indeed be of some concern, such as:

In more details as reported, up to July 31st for the 27 EU states:
Pfizer: 9,868 deaths and 767,225 injuries
Moderna: 5,460 deaths and 212,474 injuries
JANSSEN: 733 deaths and 57,159 injuries
AstraZeneca: 4,534 deaths and 923,749 injuries

Selecting the breakdown for AstraZeneca, and highlighting a few striking lines:
• 21,004   Blood and lymphatic system disorders incl. 126 deaths
• 19,717   Cardiac disorders incl. 1,489 deaths
• 33,642   Respiratory, thoracic, and mediastinal disorders incl. 1,168 deaths
• 137,631 Nervous system disorders incl. 1,081 deaths
• 205,214 General disorders and administration site conditions incl. 2,832 deaths

We do not need to endorse or certify these numbers (and there are doubtless overlaps etc) to understand why many will be concerned and why it is not good enough to simply dismiss concerns as “misinformation.” Yes, such figures are as usual hedged about with many disclaimers and debatable points, etc. On the whole, a common view is that voluntary reporting likely leads to underreporting, and it is always easy to throw up endless technical objections that boil down to correlation is not causation. However, let us remember that the cigarette manufacturers did just that for many decades, highly successfully, until in the end it was finally concluded, enough is enough.

On further fair comment,  these vaccines can clearly be regarded as ameliorative treatments administered before the fact of infection, which now seem to require onward boosters after 6 – 12 months. Possibly, on an ongoing basis as new strains emerge and as boosters also begin to fade out. Where cumulative risk obviously rises with repeated exposure.  Likewise the so-called “fully vaccinated” can catch and pass on Covid-19. If that is so, why is there pressure targetting the “unvaxxed” as the threat for new infections? Isn’t it the case that in Israel [4]:

“As of 15 August, 514 Israelis were hospitalized with severe or critical COVID-19 . . . 59% were fully vaccinated. Of the vaccinated, 87% were 60 or older. “There are so many breakthrough infections that they dominate and most of the hospitalized patients are actually vaccinated,”  says Uri Shalit, a bioinformatician at the Israel Institute of Technology (Technion) . . . “One of the big stories from Israel [is]: ‘Vaccines work, but not well enough.’” [“A grim warning from Israel: Vaccination blunts, but does not defeat Delta” Science Mag dot Org, August 16, 2021.]

Fair comment, the Covid-19 vaccines were rushed through at “warp speed” and at the same time long since tested repurposed drugs showing clearly significant antiviral effects have been brushed aside by officials and the major media, especially now Ivermectin. [5] Part of that comment is that in accord with the Nuremberg Code [6] and similar ethical regulations, emergency authorisation and experimental treatments are permitted in cases where there is no established, well-accepted effective treatment.  There is obviously a lingering question of health and life risks and uncertainties. It should therefore give serious pause to vaccine advocates that a key inventor of mRNA technologies, Dr. Robert Malone, is giving cautions on safety issues. [7]

Some would observe that while repurposed drugs such as Ivermectin are not going to make a fortune for anyone now, Moderna just turned in a quarterly profit report in the billions. Others will mutter about big pharma.

Yet others will highlight Mr. Bill Gates’ TED Talk PR fiasco of saying on stage, on video, that he hoped to reduce an estimated global population trend to nine billion by 10- 15%, [8] naming vaccines as a means to do this.

Then, there is the sheer fact of global spread and linked onward mutations of the Covid-19 virus, where apparently animal reservoirs have come up. Such as, cats. This virus is not going away anytime soon and we have to find better strategies to adapt to it and treat it.

Perhaps, then, we need to have a new conversation, one that doesn’t start by stigmatising the concerned as being the ignorant misinformed misled by armchair instigators.

[1]See Note, In the well-known Sci-Fi Star Trek universe, space ships moving in imagined excess of the speed of light are moving at “warp speed.”

[2] TMR,

[3] See:

[4] See

[5] TMR

[6] TMR

[7] See

[8] See from 2:28 on.

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British American Insurance Co. Ltd. – BACOL – (update)

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BACOL speaks – Are you a policyholder? It’s about British American Insurance Co. Ltd.

Watch and be guided:

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BACOL – Justice within reach

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Invitation to Join Legal Action

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BACOL Announces Launch of Judicial Campaign for Financial Justice for OECS BRITISH AMERICAN (BAICO) POLICYHOLDERS

British American Insurance Company Limited and Colonial Life Insurance Company Limited Policy Holders Group (BACOL)

BACOL is inviting Policyholders of the collapsed British American Insurance Company Ltd (BAICO) to register and be a part of a lawsuit that will be presented to the CCJ. Many of these policyholders (particularly in the OECS) have lost their entire life savings and BACOL is seeking fair and just financial compensation.

A Zoom town hall meeting for Policyholders in Antigua and Barbuda, St. Lucia, and Montserrat is scheduled for Thursday, July 29, 2021, at 6.30 pm.

The following release precedes this zoom meeting:

St. George, Grenada.
July 28th, 2021


  • Legal Action filed at Caribbean Court of Justice
  • Compensation sought from Trinidad and Tobago
  • Legal Action taken on behalf of Policyholders in OECS Countries
  • Treaty of Chaguaramas cited as basis of lawsuit.

BACOL will host an online town hall meeting today Thursday, July 29th at 6:30 p.m. to apprise policyholders of the legal action at the Caribbean Court of Justice (CCJ), seeking fair and equitable compensation for all policyholders of the collapsed British American Insurance Company Ltd (BAICO), and their beneficiaries.

Tonight’s town hall meeting will be addressed by BACOL President, Dr. Patrick Antoine, and the legal team, comprised of Mr. Simon Davenport, Q.C., and Mr. Gregory Pantin.

Registration of policyholders wishing to join the class action is already underway.  Policyholders in Montserrat may register with Kharl Markham of the firm Allen Markham and Associates.

The quest for financial justice for Policyholders of BAICO began, with the filing of a legal action at the Caribbean Court of Justice on July 13th, 2021, in pursuit of fair and equitable compensation from the Government of the Republic of Trinidad and Tobago.

BACOL, on behalf of its members, has caused the jurisdiction of the CCJ to be invoked, with a view to receiving full compensation on par with that awarded to British American Policyholders from Trinidad and Tobago.

The filing of the lawsuit is a culmination of painstaking work, and a long journey that began with the formation of BACOL, after it emerged that following the collapse of the insurance company, British American policyholders in the OECS would not be offered compensation on par with that awarded to policyholders from Trinidad and Tobago.

BACOL is inviting Policyholders of the collapsed British American Insurance Company Ltd (BAICO) to register and be a part of a lawsuit that will be presented to the CCJ. Many of these policyholders (particularly in the OECS) have lost their entire life savings and BACOL is seeking fair and just financial compensation.

A Zoom town hall meeting for Policyholders in Antigua and Barbuda, St. Lucia, and Montserrat is scheduled for Thursday, July 29, 2021, at 6.30 pm.

For further information: Call (WhatsApp only) +1 784 491-2813 (SVG), +1 473 405-2225 (Grenada), +1 868 291-4082 (Trinidad & Tobago) or visit

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We need to know the true state of our economy

Contribution – Part 117 (DOD ‘21 # 11)

How can we make a proper, strongly supported case for economic relief unless we understand where our economy is?

BRADES, Montserrat, July 8, 2021 –  On June 17, 2021, Hon Premier Easton Taylor Farrell presented our annual budget, which had been delayed in part due to the need for a poverty assessment due for May.  However, during his speech, the Premier did not give us specific statistics on poverty. Indeed, while he gave us economic growth rate figures for the world and for the UK as well as the EC region, he did not do so for Montserrat. Such an omission is likely to be significant (as we have been battered by both a volcano crisis and now a pandemic), and there is a public need and right to know what the state of our economy is. It may be bad, but it is the base on which we must build to achieve a brighter future.

SOURCES, ECCB Reports, Labour survey; Budget speech and radio remarks

Accordingly, once we could find figures at ECCB and once we heard hints from the budget debate and on a subsequent Opposition programme on Tuesday, July 6, we think it is important to share what we found.

The figures, reflecting the pandemic riding on top of twenty-six years of volcano crisis, are – as expected – less than happy reading.

However, we must emphasise: it was the duty of the presenters of the budget, to be frank with the public about our economic performance. If that is not done consistently, astute investors will begin to “read between the lines,” drawing prudent conclusions from what is not said, and not to our advantage.  Others will take their cues from what the smart money players are doing – “signalling” – and business confidence, for cause, will collapse.

Instead, let us face the numbers, again recognising the impact of many years of volcano crisis and the added blow from the pandemic. Then, let us look at how the CIPREG projects approved in 2019 after years of effort to make the case are likely to help to turn the tide.  For, the UK’s confidence to invest in key growth-driving infrastructure is a very good long term signal for Montserrat. Yes, it’s been long, it’s been rough, but we are coming back, better than ever.

A point of surprise (given much talk of a “dead, dead, dead” economy) is that by 2019, the economy was already growing at a 6 – 7% clip. Where, yes, our local economic model runs about 1½% hotter than ECCB’s. But the two models agree that there was about a 14% adverse swing in growth due to the pandemic hit. For further example, low construction activity readily accounts for the high unemployment rate for men. We should note, though, that construction is not that much larger than the much bemoaned agricultural sector (usually pegged at 2 – 3% of GDP); that means, we should not write off agriculture’s potential to help make a difference to growth. Likewise, tourist arrivals, pre-pandemic, were well along the way to the sort of goals that were suggested by planners a decade or so ago. There is obvious room for growth, with tourism as a first growth driver. Close behind, are digitalisation and Geothermal Energy. But we should not overlook agriculture and other possibilities such as light manufacturing (bottled water for example) or even educational tourism.

The linked concern is, how hard the pandemic and lack of a sustained stimulus have hit struggling businesses, families facing income losses or gaps and our financial institutions with a one-two punch combo.  Let us see what we can do to help businesses and people who look to construction, tourism and the like. Of course, the cloud, that given a volcano crisis weakened economy the Civil Service is about half of employment, has the silver lining that the steady income probably cushioned some of the additional blows. But, we want growth, and growth led by the private sector.

That noted, the growth rate for 2019 also suggests that CIPREG should lay a basis for sustained, accelerated growth.  Is there need to mention, in a pandemic world, that a solid hospital is a key enabler for growth? That, in a digital age, solid education with good exposure to key technologies is another key enabler? That we will need training for the hospitality industry? That workers need somewhere to live? That public transport is important, as is access? Have we forgotten how many ways the ferry enabled the small business sector and facilitated travel for so many of us? That this last issue will be the subject of serious if not urgent review as to the motives and beneficial consequences for the disablement?

The high youth unemployment rate is of particular concern, and easily explains the problem of an annual emigration of graduates from our secondary school. We need growth sectors to draw in our youth and give hope for the future. That is in part, what CIPREG is about.

All of this, then draws attention to the missing stimulus.

Yes, missing. Montserrat is probably comparable to a small rural town in England or Wales. With something like £300 billion in pandemic stimulus on the cards, there was no good reason why we should not have had a much more significant intervention, given our pre-existing volcano-ravaged economy. Yes, CIPREG is important, but it is a medium-to-long-term measure. Bridging support is manifestly needed.

The UK acknowledges the legal force of the UN Charter, Article 73, so it should be feasible to negotiate for such a support package; those who tried to deride, dismiss and mock the relevance of this Charter have done us no favours. Let us now re-think and act on this key high card for negotiations. Yes, the UK is legally bound to promote constructive measures of development and to ensure our economic, educational, social and political advancement while respecting our culture.

For those negotiations, the UK’s own domestic support is an obvious yardstick, and social housing, road development and support to businesses and those facing hardships would be logical targets. Similarly, this is the time to make the point that we need to have a proper port development, with a breakwater. Not least, the UK’s domestic pandemic package shows that they know that in the face of a blow like this, failing to inject significant support would only enable a further economic down spiral. That holds for Montserrat, too, and so they must know that an inadequate aid intervention would predictably help to make matters worse. Especially, if it damages the capacity of our tourism sector. Our case for economic support is naturally quite strong. We must make it and we must show our capability and sound governance to build confidence that we can implement successfully.

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It is not different from forcing mandatory vaccination

UK Health Secretary Sajid Javid

Playing the game! But we can’t say that the BOT Montserrat understands it. That begs the question, “Do the Government continue to ‘mismanage’? The criticism from day one has been how poorly they have managed, criminalising guidelines, and the logistics surrounding them. A most recent press release claiming to have “expanded the categories of persons allowed to enter Montserrat, and have made provisions for the use of electronic monitoring devices under the new public health COVID-19 Suppression Order…, is no more than forcing people to take the vaccine.

The UK Daily Express carried that story today coming after the Government of Montserrat (GOM) announced that it was making laws in a similar fashion that has pressured in more ways than one, the people and visitors to Montserrat. The latest move in a hypocritical way appears to be opening up the island to ‘tourists’ and visitors and even to persons who own homes and others who are normally residents in Montserrat for periods during each year.

What is this thirst, this hang-up on ‘vaccination’ which as seen in the most recent of many stories and official announcements, that the vaccine does not guarantee one who has taken, the ‘jab’ or ‘jabs’ (more than one, three may even be required to improve efficacy, do not prevent the vaccinated from contracting or passing on the infection?

The Order requires that certain categories of persons visiting the island must be fully vaccinated in order to gain admission to the island. The previous rules such as testing when on the island may still be in place.

“The parent or sibling of a Montserratian…”

“The parent, sibling, husband, wife, child or dependant of a person who (i) holds a permit of permanent residence; (ii) ordinarily resides on Montserrat; or, (iii) who owns a habitable house or home in Montserrat.”  

“The parent, sibling, husband-wife, child or dependant of a professional person who has been engaged by an entity in the public or private sector.”

In each case these persons: “…must be fully vaccinated and intends to enter Montserrat no earlier than July 19, 2021 and leave Montserrat no later than September 30, 2021;”

They remind that the new Order also makes provisions for the use of an electronic monitoring device to better manage persons in self-quarantine. 

On the Daily Express website there is also an article which quotes a professor who is angry at PM Johnson for what is called “Freedom Day” when all COVID-19 restrictions are eased on Monday. “Professor Christina Pagel, professor of operational research at University College London (UCL), said: “I feel p****d off, sad and angry.

“We are having the wrong conversation. Opening up on Monday is madness. We should not be doing it.

“We should be talking about how do we get cases down now.”

TMR says they can ease the situation by offering those people who for one reason or another do access the vaccine advice and information on how to protect healthily against the virus and what treatment is available early should they contract or even suspect, infection.

The full referenced GoM press release may be found at:

Readers who wish to read more on the issues of mandatory vaccination and other reletative matters to how the COVID situation is handled, here and world-wide may find on this TMR site and at:

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